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Climate change is predicted to increase average temperatures by
2–4°C in Europe over the next 50 years and cause considerable
changes in regional and seasonal patterns of precipitation. This
will alter the environmental conditions to which forest trees in
Europe are adapted and create additional challenges for forest
management, with consequent impacts on the economic and social
benefits derived from forests.
IPGRI and the International Union of Forest Research Organizations (IUFRO)
organized a workshop in Paris on 15-16 March 2006 to discuss the
role of forest genetic diversity in improving the adaptability of
forests to climate change. The workshop was hosted by the French
Ministry of Agriculture and Fishery and attended by nearly 80
participants from 25 countries. It was also part of the European
forest policy process (Ministerial Conferences on the Protection of
Forests in Europe, MCPFE).
The workshop recognized that the impact of climate change on forests
will vary in different parts of Europe, bringing with it both
threats and opportunities. Forest genetic diversity has an important
role in maintaining the resilience of forest ecosystems to the
threats (new pests and diseases) and in taking advantage of the
opportunities (e.g. longer growing seasons in northern Europe).
Policy-makers, managers and forest owners must inevitably make
decisions in the face of great uncertainty. Genetic diversity and
its appropriate use provide flexibility with respect to forest
management and help to reduce the risks associated with climate
change.
Widely-distributed tree species in Europe are unlikely to face
extinction at the species level due to climate change, but local
tree populations are likely to decline, especially at the margins of
the distribution ranges. Tree species with scattered or limited
distribution are more vulnerable to climate change than
widely-distributed tree species and they may face serious threats
also at species level. In addition, climate change is also likely to
alter competition between tree and other plant species. This may
have significant effects on the survival of tree species and even
the existence of the present forest habitats in Europe.
Subsequently, climate change can have significant impacts on the
European forest sector.
The workshop recommended that management of forest genetic diversity
should be better linked with national forest programmes. These
programmes are already in place in most countries to facilitate
continuous dialogue on forest-related issues between various
stakeholders within and outside the forest sector. The workshop
further recommended that forest management practices that maintain
evolutionary processes of forest trees and support natural
regeneration should be promoted, especially in areas where long-term
natural regeneration is self-sustainable despite climate change.
The discussions also stressed that forest tree adaptation to climate
change can be accelerated through tree breeding and transfer of
potentially suitable reproductive material. Subsequently, the
workshop recommended that the MCPFE process should endorse the
development of pan-European guidelines for the transfer of forest
reproductive material in Europe on the basis of scientific
knowledge. This investigation could be carried out through EUFORGEN
which already provides an operational platform for regional
collaboration in this field. EUFORGEN should then collaborate with
various IUFRO research groups which have established and maintain
networks of provenance trials.
The workshop also concluded that the impacts of climate change need
to be analyzed in a holistic manner. The European forest research
community was urged to carry out more interdisciplinary studies
(e.g. tree physiology, forest genetics, pests and diseases, forest
management and economics, and modelling) on climate change impact on
forests with the support of policy-makers.
The outcomes of the workshop were reported to the MCPFE Round Table
meeting, in Wroclaw, Poland on 24-25 April 2006. The full summary
report of the workshop is available at www.euforgen.org.
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